Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gifu 0-1 Kanazawa
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 48.7% | 57.5% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.7% | 22.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.6% | 20.0% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GifuDWLDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KanazawaWLLWL
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC GifuKanazawa
100.0Attack58.3
91.7Defence25.0
83.3Form25.0
86.3Power39.1
2.56xG0.96