FC Gifuvs
Fukushima United
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gifu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Gifu 1-0 Fukushima United
Original prediction
FC Gifu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 55.6% | 73.6% | 18.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.1% | 14.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.3% | 12.1% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
FC Gifu
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
FC Gifu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC GifuWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fukushima UnitedDLLWL
GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC GifuFukushima United
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence16.7
53.3Form26.7
59.5Power38.9
3.54xG1.14