GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/25/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Gießen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC GießenLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC GießenVfb Marburg
50.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence66.7
25.0Form66.7
39.1Power64.8
1.47xG1.91
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