Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hadamar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Gießen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hadamar are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hadamar hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hadamar holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hadamar
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
12.0%
Hadamar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00