Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Gießen are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60