Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Gießen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40