Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Gießen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20