GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Gießen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Gießen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while FC Gießen holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Gießen

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

FC Gießen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC GießenWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC GießenFC 1906 Erlensee
50.0Attack41.2
33.3Defence30.4
25.0Form26.5
39.1Power34.5
2.45xG1.37
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