Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gießen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Gießen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Baunatal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gießen hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while FC Gießen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gießen
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
FC Gießen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80