FC Fredericiavs
Hobro
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Fredericia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Fredericia 1-0 Hobro, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Fredericia 3-0 Hobro
Original prediction
FC Fredericia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.8% | 67.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 19.0% | 20.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.00 | 13.1% | 12.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
FC Fredericia 1–0 Hobro
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Fredericia
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
FC Fredericia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC FredericiaWDDWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HobroDLDLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC FredericiaHobro
46.7Attack43.3
80.0Defence43.3
56.7Form46.7
61.7Power47.5
1.77xG0.62