1. Division1. Division
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:55
FC Fredericia

FC Fredericia

Home
W
30
Full time
HB Koge

HB Koge

Away
L
Monjasa Park
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
FC Fredericia(42%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
FC Fredericia
42%
Draw
27%
HB Koge
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Fredericia
94
HB Koge
9
Defence
FC Fredericia
27
HB Koge
66
Momentum
FC Fredericia
100
HB Koge
0
Danger (xG)
FC Fredericia
2.70
HB Koge
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (FC Fredericia)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (HB Koge)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (FC Fredericia)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (HB Koge)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC FredericiaFC Fredericia
W
HB KogeHB Koge
LW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
FC Fredericia42%
Draw27%
HB Koge32%

FC Fredericia leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC Fredericia head into this in 1. Division fixture at Monjasa Park in mixed form (W), while HB Koge arrive in mixed form (L). FC Fredericia have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for HB Koge over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. FC Fredericia's elite attack (94/100) faces a solid HB Koge defence (66/100), while HB Koge's attack is up against a vulnerable FC Fredericia backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in FC Fredericia's favour.

FC Fredericia have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. HB Koge have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between FC Fredericia and HB Koge in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Fredericia to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: FC Fredericia 4176%, Draw 2670%, HB Koge 3154%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

FC Fredericia

FC Fredericia

W
vs Mafra
15 Jul 2026
32
HB Koge

HB Koge

L
@ Hvidovre
3 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Middelfart
16 May 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Fredericia to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Fredericia vs HB Koge?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more