FC Fredericiavs
Esbjerg
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Fredericia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Fredericia 1-0 Esbjerg
Original prediction
FC Fredericia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.8% | 59.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.74 | 19.5% | 22.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.7% | 18.9% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Fredericia
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
FC Fredericia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20