GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/9/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naftan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Premier League, while FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NaftanDWLWW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Energetik-Bgu MinskNaftan
27.8Attack33.3
52.2Defence29.2
31.1Form20.8
39.6Power30.5
1.30xG0.85
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