GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 5-1 Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Original prediction

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7451.7%61.3%9.6 pts
Draw3.9322.9%20.1%-2.7 pts
Away3.5425.4%18.6%-6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–010%
  2. 2.3–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4LDWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC Energetik-Bgu MinskMolodechno-DYuSSh 4
73.7Attack47.4
63.2Defence42.1
66.7Form47.4
66.7Power46.3
2.94xG0.92
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