FC Eindhovenvs
Vitesse
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitesse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 0-1 Vitesse
Original prediction
Vitesse
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.9% | 30.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.6% | 23.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 46.5% | 46.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vitesse
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Vitesse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60