FC Eindhovenvs
Jong PSV U21
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jong PSV U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U21
Original prediction
Jong PSV U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.8% | 36.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 25.1% | 25.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.1% | 37.5% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Jong PSV U21
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Jong PSV U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80