FC Eindhovenvs
Heracles
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/30/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heracles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 1-3 Heracles
Original prediction
Heracles
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.51 | 20.6% | 27.6% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.5% | 23.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 57.9% | 49.5% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Heracles
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Heracles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 18 · GA 11 · avg 3.60/2.20