FC Eindhovenvs
Emmen
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Emmen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 3-1 Emmen
Original prediction
Emmen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 25.1% | 29.8% | 4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.9% | 21.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 52.0% | 48.9% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Emmen
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Emmen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC EindhovenWDLLL
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EmmenLWLWW
GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC EindhovenEmmen
44.4Attack88.9
33.3Defence22.2
38.9Form66.7
42.0Power60.0
1.98xG2.59