FC Eindhovenvs
Dordrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 2-1 Dordrecht
Original prediction
FC Eindhoven
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 40.1% | 41.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.7% | 23.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 34.2% | 34.5% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Eindhoven
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
FC Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20