FC Eindhovenvs
De Graafschap
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Eindhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Eindhoven 2-2 De Graafschap
Original prediction
FC Eindhoven
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.9% | 22.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.8% | 27.8% | -14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Eindhoven
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
FC Eindhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40