GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/2/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dnepr Mogilev · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

FC Dnepr Mogilev are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orsha are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dnepr Mogilev hold a 31.0-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the 1. Division, while FC Dnepr Mogilev holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Probability

84.5%

Model confidence

84.5%

FC Dnepr Mogilev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Dnepr MogilevDWDWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OrshaLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
FC Dnepr MogilevOrsha
78.1Attack41.2
75.0Defence41.2
76.0Form41.2
74.6Power43.6
3.27xG0.59
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