FC Dnepr Mogilevvs
Dinamo Minsk
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Dinamo Minsk, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Dinamo Minsk
Original prediction
Dinamo Minsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.83 | 13.4% | 12.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.2% | 21.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 64.4% | 65.4% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–1 Dinamo Minsk
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Minsk
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Dinamo Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40