FC Dnepr Mogilevvs
Bate Borisov
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Bate Borisov, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Bate Borisov
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.1% | 37.1% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.4% | 31.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.4% | 31.5% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–0 Bate Borisov
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FC Dnepr MogilevLLDLD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Bate BorisovLWLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC Dnepr MogilevBate Borisov
30.6Attack25.0
45.8Defence58.3
22.2Form29.2
35.5Power39.9
0.81xG0.76