GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 5/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dnepr Mogilev · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Dnepr Mogilev are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Baranovichi are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Baranovichi hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Premier League, while FC Dnepr Mogilev holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

14.6%

FC Dnepr Mogilev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Dnepr MogilevLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BaranovichiLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
FC Dnepr MogilevBaranovichi
29.4Attack37.5
45.1Defence37.5
23.5Form33.3
35.3Power39.0
1.16xG1.14
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