GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 6/14/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Dnepr Mogilev are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Arsenal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (35.3 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Dnepr MogilevDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ArsenalWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC Dnepr MogilevArsenal
29.4Attack37.0
45.1Defence46.3
23.5Form38.9
35.3Power43.1
0.99xG1.14
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