FC Differdange 03vs
UN Kaerjeng 97
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Differdange 03 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Differdange 03 4-1 UN Kaerjeng 97
Original prediction
FC Differdange 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.0% | 57.3% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.8% | 21.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 8.06 | 11.3% | 21.5% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Differdange 03
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80