FC Differdange 03vs
Swift Hesperange
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Differdange 03 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (14%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Differdange 03 3-0 Swift Hesperange
Original prediction
FC Differdange 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 88.9% | 83.9% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 11.08 | 8.2% | 10.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 31.31 | 2.9% | 6.0% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.4–014%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
FC Differdange 03
Probability
83.9%
Model confidence
83.9%
FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 0 · GA 19 · avg 0.00/3.80