FC Differdange 03vs
Résidence Walferdange
COMPLETEDLuxembourg · National Division · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Differdange 03 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Differdange 03 6-0 Résidence Walferdange
Original prediction
FC Differdange 03
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.2% | 65.1% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.53 | 13.9% | 18.7% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 11.44 | 7.9% | 16.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Differdange 03
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20