UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Wednesday, 8 July 2026Last updated 10:00
FC Differdange 03

FC Differdange 03

Home
LD
00
Full time
Ilves

Ilves

Away
WD
Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
FC Differdange 03(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
FC Differdange 03
39%
Draw
26%
Ilves
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FC Differdange 03
18
Ilves
54
Defence
FC Differdange 03
46
Ilves
82
Momentum
FC Differdange 03
17
Ilves
67
Danger (xG)
FC Differdange 03
0.45
Ilves
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (FC Differdange 03)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Ilves)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (FC Differdange 03)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Ilves)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03
LDWD
IlvesIlves
WDLLD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
FC Differdange 0339%
Draw26%
Ilves34%

FC Differdange 03 leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FC Differdange 03 head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange in mixed form (LD), while Ilves arrive in mixed form (WD). FC Differdange 03 have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Ilves over 2 games.

The model rates FC Differdange 03's attack at 18/100 against a 82/100 Ilves defence, and Ilves's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 FC Differdange 03 backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

FC Differdange 03 have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. Ilves have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Ilves have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Differdange 03 to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: FC Differdange 03 3934%, Draw 2620%, Ilves 3446%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

FC Differdange 03 0Draws 11 Ilves
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
16 Jul 2026
FC Differdange 03
L13
Ilves
8 Jul 2026
FC Differdange 03
D00
Ilves

Recent form

FC Differdange 03

FC Differdange 03

L
@ Ilves
16 Jul 2026
13
D
vs Ilves
8 Jul 2026
00
W
vs UN Kaerjeng 97
17 May 2026
20
D
vs Rodange 91
13 May 2026
11
Ilves

Ilves

W
vs FC Differdange 03
16 Jul 2026
31
D
@ FC Differdange 03
8 Jul 2026
00
L
@ FF Jaro
4 Jul 2026
12
L
@ HJK Helsinki
1 Jul 2026
12
D
vs SJK
27 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Differdange 03 to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more