GGOALVIO

Luxembourg · National Division · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Differdange 03 · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Differdange 03 2-1 F91 Dudelange

Original prediction

FC Differdange 03

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3368.1%80.3%12.2 pts
Draw4.7519.1%12.5%-6.6 pts
Away7.1212.8%7.2%-5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

12.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–012%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.4–010%

Predicted outcome

FC Differdange 03

Probability

80.3%

Model confidence

80.3%

FC Differdange 03 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Differdange 03WWWWW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
F91 DudelangeWWWLD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC Differdange 03F91 Dudelange
100.0Attack53.3
73.3Defence46.7
90.0Form43.3
85.9Power48.0
3.22xG0.73
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