FC Dallasvs
Toronto FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Toronto FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
10.0%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00