Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Dallas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Diego are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60