Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Dallas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Necaxa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Leagues Cup, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40