GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC DallasLWWDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Minnesota United FCLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC DallasMinnesota United FC
59.3Attack36.8
53.7Defence54.4
50.0Form43.9
55.6Power47.1
1.79xG0.92
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