GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Dallas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dallas

Probability

56.8%

Model confidence

12.0%

FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC DallasDDWWD

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United FCWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC DallasMinnesota United FC
59.3Attack37.0
53.7Defence53.7
50.0Form44.4
55.6Power47.1
1.82xG0.93
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