Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FC Dallas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlotte are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the Leagues Cup, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40