FC Copenhagenvs
SC Braga
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga
Original prediction
FC Copenhagen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 37.5% | 40.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 30.1% | 29.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 32.4% | 30.3% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
FC Copenhagen
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
FC Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20