FC Copenhagenvs
Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Copenhagen 1-1 Aarhus
Original prediction
FC Copenhagen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 58.1% | 77.5% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.8% | 13.4% | -9.3 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.2% | 9.1% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
FC Copenhagen
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
77.5%
FC Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00