GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Toronto FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Toronto FCLLWLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC CincinnatiToronto FC
83.3Attack44.4
18.5Defence40.7
48.1Form31.5
50.9Power41.8
3.28xG1.94
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