GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/23/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (67.2 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Leagues Cup, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sporting Kansas CityLDDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC CincinnatiSporting Kansas City
66.7Attack55.6
66.7Defence22.2
66.7Form44.4
67.2Power43.8
2.23xG1.21
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