GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

58.1%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiDDDLW

GF 14 · GA 15 · avg 2.80/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
New York Red BullsDLDWL

GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls
83.3Attack53.7
18.5Defence27.8
48.1Form46.3
50.9Power45.0
3.93xG2.39
View match centre →