FC Cincinnativs
New York City FC
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
FC Cincinnati are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
7.2%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00