GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC

Original prediction

FC Cincinnati

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.2–36%
  3. 3.3–26%

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New York City FCLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC
80.7Attack57.9
21.1Defence52.6
47.4Form45.6
50.6Power52.4
2.47xG2.53
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