GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiLWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.75/2.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Houston DynamoWDDDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC CincinnatiHouston Dynamo
83.3Attack49.1
18.5Defence57.9
48.1Form61.4
50.9Power57.6
2.21xG2.26
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