GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago FireWWWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
83.3Attack62.7
18.5Defence54.9
48.1Form56.9
50.9Power58.6
2.37xG2.89
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