GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/21/2026, 9:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

FC Cincinnati are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

8.4%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC CincinnatiLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlanta United FCDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC CincinnatiAtlanta United FC
83.3Attack35.2
18.5Defence38.9
48.1Form22.2
50.9Power34.7
3.46xG1.50
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