FC Cincinnativs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/21/2026, 9:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
FC Cincinnati are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
8.4%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80