FC Cincinnati IIvs
Philadelphia Union II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Philadelphia Union II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cincinnati II 2-3 Philadelphia Union II
Original prediction
Philadelphia Union II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.1% | 26.8% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 22.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.5% | 51.1% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Philadelphia Union II
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Philadelphia Union II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 18 · avg 1.60/3.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60