GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

FC Cincinnati II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Louisville City

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

8.4%

Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Cincinnati IILWWWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Louisville CityLDWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC Cincinnati IILouisville City
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence25.0
0.0Form58.3
11.2Power51.7
1.75xG2.23
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