FC Cincinnati IIvs
Crown Legacy
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cincinnati II 1-2 Crown Legacy
Original prediction
Crown Legacy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 23.4% | 11.5% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.4% | 13.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.2% | 75.3% | 20.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
Crown Legacy
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60