FC Cincinnati IIvs
Connecticut FC
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
FC Cincinnati II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (30.6 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
9.3%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60