FC Cartagenavs
Europa Fc
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: FC Cartagena 1-0 Europa Fc, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
FC Cartagena 3-0 Europa Fc
Original prediction
FC Cartagena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.9% | 49.0% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.16 | 17.5% | 22.5% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
FC Cartagena 1–0 Europa Fc
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Cartagena
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
FC Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60